Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 58.417973 66.563640 74.923442 84.109965 93.888279 103.954785 115.070783
2025-12-21 44.452840 55.855003 68.145414 82.233317 97.800581 114.356410 133.178468
2025-12-28 39.108807 52.650450 67.742954 85.516787 105.609130 127.385240 152.548553
2026-01-04 34.238880 49.221973 66.445121 87.218137 111.159896 137.515803 168.372527
2026-01-11 29.186400 44.944748 63.638107 86.714965 113.801321 144.048121 179.878203
2026-01-18 25.012968 41.271547 61.159772 86.251448 116.192822 150.052461 190.571992
2026-01-25 21.922658 38.637336 59.674809 86.736193 119.493069 156.935168 202.122987
2026-02-01 18.765805 35.582714 57.409518 86.056239 121.235689 161.874312 211.325962
2026-02-08 16.271304 33.171982 55.765810 85.975472 123.559090 167.382470 221.093896
2026-02-15 13.772203 30.480742 53.554911 85.017741 124.686396 171.379330 229.018722
2026-02-22 12.299355 29.158063 53.061312 86.158143 128.314511 178.288649 240.307219
2026-03-01 11.108068 28.141937 52.899229 87.660296 132.341210 185.639911 252.091893
2026-03-08 9.292134 25.925746 50.957983 86.776092 133.374686 189.416672 259.709764
2026-03-15 7.462145 23.422230 48.438885 84.998724 133.190923 191.657940 265.459790
2026-03-22 7.110185 23.524754 49.710499 88.317660 139.482836 201.776288 280.608560
2026-03-29 6.419534 22.901463 49.847339 90.054073 143.724652 209.376115 292.738103
2026-04-05 5.317219 21.302516 48.403633 89.541062 145.012682 213.311176 300.437365
2026-04-12 4.361431 19.823423 47.043016 89.069382 146.299817 217.205860 308.058036
2026-04-19 3.693251 18.842393 46.401342 89.562795 148.815920 222.601795 317.480382
2026-04-26 2.922129 17.436047 44.975654 88.870642 149.721437 225.957351 324.399548
2026-05-03 2.343783 16.354027 44.009410 88.788421 151.399011 230.253401 332.446486
2026-05-10 1.743210 14.997780 42.478689 87.813421 151.834695 232.953730 338.516281
2026-05-17 1.458775 14.500912 42.406994 88.974377 155.132436 239.261656 349.009854